Modelling and Managing Uncertainty in the Subsurface

HOT Engineering
Course summary
3 days
3,150 EUR excl. VAT
Open / Scheduled

Modelling and Managing Uncertainty in the Subsurface

Modelling and Managing Uncertainty in the Subsurface

Modelling and Managing Uncertainty in Subsurface Formation - 3-day Training Course for Oil & Gas Professionals

Uncertainty quantification is a synthesis course that brings together various disciplines such as geology, geophysics, reservoir engineering, data science and decision analysis. Uncertainty quantification is not seen as some posterior analysis, or skill, but as key to successful decision making in real field situations. Participants will learn how a proper management of uncertainty reduces costs and unwanted surprises.

In this short course we cover a modern approach to managing and modelling uncertainty in subsurface formations within a decision making framework. We outline an uncertainty quantification workflow that focuses on several elements:

  • Decision-driven sensitivity analysis to determine key reservoir variables
  • Geological scenario development to avoid reducing uncertainty artificially and during history matching
  • Use of seismic and production data for model rejection
  • Issues of computational challenges through model validation and screening

For in-house presentations this course can also be arranged as 5-day "Workshop" with practical exercises.

How we build your confidence:

  • The course uses practical field studies to guide you through the modelling workflow from geological interpretation to history matching and forecasting
  • In addition to the course manual you will also receive the textbook 'Modeling Uncertainty in the Earth Sciences' by Jef Caers

By the end of the course, you will feel confident in your understanding and use of practical workflows for modelling uncertainty and the integration of geological, geophysical and production data for forecasting and decision making.

Suitability - Who should attend?

This training course is aimed at reservoir geologists, geophysicists and engineers who are involved in a multi-disciplinary asset team building uncertainty models for reservoir appraisal and production planning.

Training Course Content

This training course is designed to cover the following units:

  • What is uncertainty?
  • Managing uncertainty in the oil & gas industry
  • Decision making under uncertainty
  • Representing uncertainty in metric space
  • Decision-focused sensitivity analysis for reservoir models
  • Validating uncertainty models with reservoir log, seismic and production data
  • Model selection and model complexity: addressing the computational challenge
  • Uncertainty quantification with seismic and production data
  • Calculating value of information


The course fee includes tuition, course material, refreshments and lunch per session day and a 100 EURO non-refundable registration fee. Course fees do NOT include accommodation or living costs. Applicable taxes will be added. 

The course is held at a top quality hotel with excellent meeting facilities.

Provider: HOT Engineering

HOTEngineering - Oil & Gas Courses, Reservoir Solutions & Quality Assurance

HOT – World Class Training for Oil & Gas Professionals

HOT is a leading oil and gas training provider and E&P consulting company. We come together as a multidisciplinary team, combining 33 years of training and consulting experience to deliver state of the art public courses, bespoke in-house courses, long-term...

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A-8700 Leoben

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Reviews by course attendees

Reservoir Engineer at MND
It opens a new area in the industry and changes your view on it.
Engineer at StreamSim Technologies Inc.
Innovation, variety of examples, opportunity to open mind.
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